I don’t mean to beat a dead horse, but I had mentioned in a blog last month that if Jimmie Johnson and his team were to get the lead in this points chase, it was more than likely over for 2012. I have nothing against The Lowes Chevrolet team, but like a bunch of other fans, am somewhat tired of seeing him win these championships.
Me? I am a Jeff Gordon fan, and would love to see the Rainbow Warrior get his fifth title. I have Brad Keselowski in the pool at the Watering Hole, so my wallet would love to see The Miller Lite Dodge lifting the trophy at Homestead. And yes, I like Great Taste versus Less Filling. But I need to tell you, If you look at the history of The Chase, it’s hard to bet against the #48 at this point.
Yeah, yeah, I know he only has a one point lead over Brad, and a seven point lead over Denny, and there’s Tony only 10 points back, and we all know what he did last year, but let’s take a look at the whole story.
At the tracks that are remaining on the 2012 schedule, The Lowes Chevrolet has 28 wins. If fact, the #48 crew own Dover. They have seven wins at the Monster Mile, and that leads all active participants. And by the way, JJ also has six wins at both Charlotte and Martinsville, and four wins at Phoenix. The only remaining venues he has struggled at, are Texas with one win, and Homestead where he has yet to win.
He has never won in South Florida because by the time they get there, he doesn’t need to win. He is in “Safe Driving” mode, and only needs join the winner in Victory Lane to get his trophy.
Denny Hamlin has the best chance to win it all, even though he has never run to well at Dover, but if he can get out of Dover without losing too much ground, he has a team that can compete. He was really close two years ago, and now has a crew chief in Darien Grubb who won it all last year with Tony Stewart.
The only hope for the rest of the drivers in the field and the fans, is for the Lowes Chevrolet to have a bit of bad luck down the stretch. I know it’s something they rarely have, but let’s face the facts, they don’t make too many mistakes, so the bad luck is our best opportunity to not let this turn into a one horse race, and leave race fans running for the exits. After all, baseball playoffs are close, and then we always have football to hold us until Speed Week 2013.
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