With half of the Chase schedule in the books after the 53rd Annual Bank Of America 500 Saturday night at Charlotte Motor Speedway, I think you can pretty much dismiss race winner Clint Bowyer and Kasey Kahne from drivers who have a legitimate chance to win the Sprint Cup Championship in 2012. Now I can see one of the top three contenders having a bad finish, but not all of them.
At 35 points behind the leader, Brad Keselowski, Kasey would have to finish on an average of seven positions ahead of of Brad on every race to just come up with a tie. Yeah, I know, if Kasey wins or leads a lap, this average would change. I still can’t see the #5 Farmers Insurance Chevy doing it this year.
Clint Bowyer is just getting the knack of winning, and has no chase experience to speak of, and I don’t see him as a threat to win it all in South Beach.
The Chase, in my opinion is between two cars. The Federal Express Toyota and that darn Lowes Chevrolet. Brad Keselowski has impressed me in the Chase so far, but I don’t think he has the wisdom to win it all. He is a force to be reckoned with, but I don’t think it’s this year. He has some championships in his future, but the other two team have been there and done that. I have Brad in the pool at The Watering Hole, but am only being realistic with my hopes.
At the remaining tracks, Brad Keselowski has no wins in his short career. Jimmie Johnson has 13 wins and Denny Hamlin nine. Jimmie won at Kansas last year before Tony Stewart went on a tear and won three of the last four races to win his third championship. One factor that makes Hamlin better than 2010 is the addition of the crew chief that Tony didn’t want. You know. Darian Grubb.
So as we go down the home stretch to Homestead, I think we have a “Two Horse” race that will be between Denny Hamlin and Jimmie Johnson. Now Jimmie has never lost it when he was really in it, and I think he also has one of the best crew chiefs in the business, with Chad Knaus, but I really beleive it is time for Denny Hamlin to win it all.
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